Investment Club and Newsletter in Global, Micro-to-Mid Capitalization Public Equities
Why Join Phoenix Investing?
Who We Are
Individual and professional investors. High integrity people. Investors who love the adventure of finding the diamonds in the rough and helping to unlock value for important innovations.
The Investment Opportunity
The current economic landscape is characterized by:
1. Pressure on private company valuations after a series of bubbles in funding over many years. Many of these companies did not even have viable business models and there was no attention to earning a yield over reasonable time frames.
2. Valuations in larger public companies much higher than smaller companies.
3. Inflation and Federal Reserve interest rate hikes amid multiple global crises. Investors seem to believe they managed the impossible, taking valuations up after many years of leaving them low, after creating the everything bubble and then nothing bad happening. That is unlikely to be true. It is a good time to be a contrarian and look for opportunities in new areas away from the herd.
3. Bubbles in various industries due to excessive funding during boom years. A recent example is all the AI hype, despite the technology not being new and in development for many years. Long term value creation with AI technologies across industries requires a convergence of many technologies and multi-disciplinary capabilities, not hype that sounds more like a Star Wars movie than an investing thesis. There is and will be plenty of opportunity in this area, but following the herd is dangerous right now. Just because companies seem large and formidable does not mean they can't have dark tower falling moments.
Investment considerations:
1. Caution against following investment trends blindly.
2. Potential opportunities in smaller, undiscovered companies.
3. Expectation of valuation corrections in overvalued areas, especially with so many other issues coming to a head with interrelated global crises.
Challenges in the market:
1. Unconventional public offerings (reverse mergers, SPACs) often resulting in value traps.
2. Lack of institutional support for micro and small-cap companies.
3. Illiquidity and vulnerability to market manipulation in smaller markets.
Opportunities:
1. Potential for venture capital-type returns in public markets over shorter timeframes.
2. Focus on opportunities in micro-to-mid-capitalization global public companies away from the herd across industries with solid research and strategic plans for long term value creation.
3. Application of living system principles to identify diamonds in the rough, company corruption and company weaknesses.
4. Leveraging systemic thinking and natural intelligence processes to identify new opportunities and identify risks that other investment approaches routinely miss.
Summary:
We value the importance of long term strategic thinking, aligning with company missions, and the potential for finding value in smaller, emerging companies despite the challenging market conditions. Our living complex investing principles were specifically designed to identify diamond in the rough opportunities with boundary pushing entrepreneurs as well as managing the inevitable macro and micro risks that come with investing in an area like this.
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